The U.S. economy is anticipated to decline in the latter part of 2025, as per a CNBC survey. 60% of CFOs foresee an economic downturn, a substantial rise from 7% in the previous quarter’s survey at the close of 2024.
In addition to CFOs foreseeing a 2025 recession, 15% predict one for 2026. This rising concern isn’t confined to financial experts but extends to everyday consumers. Bloomberg reveals a spike in US consumer recession expectations, hitting a nine-month peak.
Speaking to CNBC-TV18 on March 10, Harvard economist Kenneth Rogoff estimated a 30-35% chance of a US recession in 2025 due to uncertainties linked to Trump’s policies, budget reductions, and potential tariffs by April 2. Bond market expert Jeffrey Gundlach predicted a higher risk of 50-60% for a 2025 US recession.
According to a Deutsche Bank survey, there is a 43% chance of a US recession next year. Surveyed CFOs, whose outlook was described as ‘pessimistic’ by CNBC, feel that uncertainty from the Trump administration hinders decision-making. Despite this, 90% believe the Dow Jones will reach 40,000 this year.
The US stock market lost $5.5 trillion last month, mainly due to major tech stocks like Tesla, NVIDIA, Salesforce, Apple, and Google’s Alphabet. Taimur Baig of DBS Group told CNBC-TV18 that while uncertainty may delay investments, recent home sales figures are not concerning, leading to differing views on recession predictions.
Sources News From Various Digital Platforms, Websites, Journalists, And Agencies.
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